Seasonal stock market swings

Seasonal stock market swings

Posted: xronikus Date of post: 30.06.2017

It was the first time in a decade. From the middle of December to the end of Decemberit was nirvana. There was no problem, and then came January.

seasonal stock market swings

The first trading day of January, boom, and we had the worst January in the history of all Januarys in the stock market. Not only are we going to fall, I think there is going to be a huge tremor in China and in the emerging markets. I think she will not get more than one rate hike out of the way before this whole thing unwinds and unfolds. Then, you are going to get a reversal of those rate hikes. You are going to go back into QE quantitative easing or money printing in I knew we had rising real interest rates and a stronger dollar.

I am an active manager, and I can buy it back, but if you are a long term holder of gold, you should hold gold. If you are a long, long term holder of gold, you should be using this selloff to buy more gold. This is going to reverse in early We have a record amount of debt worldwide. This thing is going to unravel inand then you are going to see, I believe, helicopter money on the other side. So, you better get ready to own gold again if you sold it. That, by definition, is an absolute bursting of the bond bubble.

The problem is this: All asset prices were priced off 1. So, the bond bubble is epic. It is that big in proportion, and it is now bursting. There is no more refinancing market. The initial purchase applications have flat lined. As the housing market goes, so goes the economy. The emerging market economies and their currencies are crashing, and that is where I see the epicenter of the bubble breaks. They are going to have to reverse course.

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When they do, they are going to temporarily bring that yield back down. You are going to want to have gold at that juncture. Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies.

Greg is the producer and creator of USAWatchdog. Before creating and producing the site, Greg spent nearly 9 years as a network and investigative correspondent. He worked for ABC News and Good Morning America for nearly 6 years.

Most recently, Greg worked for CNN for shows such as Paula Zahn Now, American Morning and various CNN business shows. This is our last chance. That little guy, Vlad[the impaler]Putin. He has a way, of getting in the way. Check out comments too, out of this world! Ben Swann is not a national TV journalist, but he is making a name for himself on his Atlanta, Georgia, station by going against the mainstream media.

Wikileaks outright denied this claim and stated bluntly that their source was a LEAK and not a HACK. He was offering 1 bottle of vodka per vote, for Trump! Maybe he will lay his hands on some soon to be rehypothicated confiscated Indian gold when it is dumped on the market. If debt is the bomb, rising interest rates are the fuse. The fed needs to step on the gas pedal again in order to lower interest rates.

The law of diminishing returns demand infinitely more money printing than before in order to get the same effect. I abhor the bond market. It is something that is as clear as mud. China has had to devalue the Yuan. India and Venezuala are on the verge of a revolution due to efforts to restrict the currency. As far as interest rates with regard to housing in the US, obviously, the refi market has been killed.

It is already being reborn with adjustable rates along with assumable VA loans for those that can jump through all the hoops and qualify. I was fortunate and my VA refi funded on Monday at a 2. It was the bargain of a lifetime! I do not expect to see that interest rate, again, ever.

I remember the s, and the dot. I expect that the US economy will grow due to decreased regulations, lower taxes, and simply the idea that you can start a business and not be taxed or regulated into oblivion by the federal government. I hope Trump lays off government workers.

Tons and tons of them. What a waste of money! Small businesses have always been the engine that drove the US economy. I agree with some of the things Mr. Pento said but I disagree on others. Nothing ever happens as you expect it to or according to plan.

Winning is being in the right place at the right time, being prepared and taking action, but there is never any guarantee of success. I too thought it was a sharp clear analysis of what is happening now and the probable events of If you want to gamble, have an active portfolio. You are correct when you say hold on to it tight. The government and thieves will be trying to pry it out of your hands.

China is dumping US treasuries at a record pace before the USD collapses and is likely using the funds to buy something that will be appreciating rather than depreciating such as PMs like gold. All the major economies will collapse together. China, however, sees the economic winter approaching and is making preparations investing in physical assets around the globe, stockpiling gold, oil, copper etc.

The Third World, being Russia and her old satellites, Indonesia, and South America… etc. Were are coming to One World. I agree with Michael Pinto that the Bond market collapse is going to burst the global economic bubble.

How long can the Federal Reserve Bank continue to buy and hold U. The bigger question is how long will the Chinese continue to take this beating and allow the Yuan to be crushed under the weight of the dollar?

Not long I assure you. My tip to your readers who may be tuned in. Have hard assets real estate, gold and silver, jewelry in your possession and stay out of debt to be ready for the coming fire sale.

In when the real estate bubble burst in Florida, I had to pay cash for foreclosure homes. The banks would not take credit. A proof of funds letter meant nothing. The trick this time around is to hold precious metals to the other side of the reset in order to get top dollar for your investment. In order to do that, you have to be patient. Its a buy and hold strategy, not a get rich quick scheme. Jerry POTUS O and Jack Lew want to leave office with the best economic stats they can put up on the board.

Only 1 more month to go. All of the DEMs want to point back to when they handed the baton over to the the DON and be able to say look at the awesome economy we handed him. Will they hold off and be patient another month, as you are suggesting to all watchdogers aboveso as not to show any of their cards to the new administration? And we will also see if the DON actually is inaugurated on schedule. I have to assume that he and his team know what the CIA is capable of.

Easy to follow his logic, well laid out. Great interview Greg… Chip.

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Answered my questions about bonds, and the effects it has on stocks. Goods will be needed, and a new system to exchange these goods.

EXCELLENT interview as always Greg. Keep up the Great Work, I for one appreciate the service you provide. The ongoing post election rally has seemed like a bull trap; imo if you stay in past next Friday you will be in that trap.

I can even say it backwards! Excellent point on the expectation of lower CG taxes in will cause a selloff in early January. Any selloff magnitude will be exacerbated by the HFT algos; I expect the exchanges may close for at least a week. Should that happen, stop everything else and run for the grocery store, fill your tank up, buy that extra box of ammo, and take all your cash out of the bank. I have watched these financial pundits speak to this issue for more than a couple of years now, and am fed up with their prognostication about what they believe is going to happen.

It is always a good idea to be prepared for any and all possible circumstances that may befall us because idiots are manning the tiller. I am beginning to think they are turning straw into gold in order to supply the market.

Pento is on to something. I have some of the same sentiments and more portentousness. Would you be able to get Charles Ortel back on forex trading platform in singapore show? That was a great interview….

Hi Greg, In regards to China-when do you causes stock market crash 2016 in bangladesh they play the gold card?

Maybe when they exhaust the treasury selling? Is that not the endgame? Thanks for the great service you do. Why rock the boat when they are acquiring gold on the cheap and trying to convert their paper holdings into physical assets? Thanks December rally stock market, That is a good article! I wondered if she would got out of the race unscathed. I see what Comey is doing; just waiting for a new administration to come in before he indicts her, but I have often wondered if her donors would let her off the hook.

Michael is saying about the same thing. They will crash it at the time of their choosing. People will loose their life savings- massive financial losses everywhere. They will be screwed. Too bad, Egon von Greyerz forgot to say that the pension funds wil be the most pathetic victims of this perfect trap. He is a man with integrity and no hidden agendas. Thanks for having him on. In doing so, these short-sighted geologists harm not only their companies and employees but their shareholders, too.

Greg, Another great guest and interview. Pento is sharp and enlightening on these issues. Thank you for your continuous fine work my brother. Unrelated, but has anyone else had a teletrade forex broker review time believing the alleged Russian ambassador shooting?

The thing looks staged and fake to me. If so, that means Russia is also engaged in false flags. Then ask, for what purpose? Strange times we are living in. Thank you for all your efforts again this year. You and many of your guests have awakened, and educated me, thankfully.

I hope best results forex robots in the world make it to other side of together. It seems to me we are in the Reset now phase now. Watch for Gold emancipation to physical from paper market and China to lead. Greg, this Michael Pento interview was probably my favorite one this year.

His analysis and logic is very easy to follow and he even suggested time frames of when things will occur. I hope you have him on more often inperhaps towards the end of Q1 to see if things really are headed south as he suggests they will.

Keep up the great work and…. Hold on to your hats. Reset the gold prices through the Shanghai Gold Exchange. Back the Yuan with it. Sell off any remaining U. Before you discount this prediction you might want to be reminded that China purchased gold vaults strategically in: New York City 2.

They know at some point, they must breakaway away from the control of the Federal Reserve Bank and its printing press in order to survive economically. If this trend continues, and the PBOC cannot control capital outflows, they will be put in a position to where they have no other choice but to pull the trigger on the reset, rather than watch their entire economic system be crushed underneath the weight of the dollar and its associated debt.

With Trump coming into office in January and facing the possibility of an import taxalong with the dollar sucking the life out of your currency, what would you do? This sure is not the Elizabeth Warren for Hillary we hear at the election about the Credit market eh? Did Michael Pento say that he dumped his gold investments in paper? If Closed position forex got this whole scenario completely wrong, please disregard.

Have a wonderful Christmas! Very few very successful money managers believe everything collapses in the near future. There have been a few well cointegration pair trading strategy PM analysts that have been calling for gold to fall the past 5 weeks and possibly longer.

MP, like you pointed out is a money manager. Most money mangers, including MP, are in the business of making money for their clients. If he wishes to keep his clients he strives to be successful at his business. Most likely he discusses the make money farmville hack 2016 no survey aspect with each client, and may advise them to hold some physical for the long term as he suggests in the interview.

I would guess he does that himself too! But remember he said he was an active manager and that means he can trade paper gold within seconds every day. He obviously believed Gold was also going to seasonal stock market swings the past 5 weeks and acted accordingly to make money for his clients. I believe he sees paper gold going up next year and may be buying gold very shortly again to try to make his clients happy!

I can see the chain of calls now. The 1st Bank of Iran says sure. We just got an extra billion dollars from the Ketchup King. But they turn around and have their gold stored offshore! Please tell me, if the global collapse happens, why would tax consequences of exercising incentive stock options foreign power, whose people are starving and rioting in the streets, not seize whatever real assets they could?

Seasonal stock market swings course they would! One of the reasons why I like gold bars is that they have zero maintenance cost and do not need a careful handling. I have been keeping my uncovered gold bars in humid dirty places. They are still in the same conditions as when I bought them in Robert One might consider buying 2 safes. You never know if you will be forced to open one. A safe with a little bit of cash and copies of some important papers? And another one in a secure location with some PMs!

Or just one safe and maybe consider adopting a GS at your local rescue!

seasonal stock market swings

I wish I could have a large dog. My youngest son is allergic to them and they bring on severe asthma. I agree Robert, ownership of physical metal held off shore or in a safety deposit box, is as good as paper gold, when they close their doors……….

Celente, had first hand experience. A visible one might be worse than just hiding stuff behind the sofa. Secondly yes, conceal any safe.

If bad guys find a safe they can easily get it opened. Just remember where you hide it. My grandfather said that during the depression government regulators routinely inspected bank boxes looking for gold or silver. Floor safes below the lowest floor would be best in my opinion because the contents are more likely to survive a fire. But they must be waterproof or a flood could cause damage. But they can be expensive. Greg, Has anyone mentioned or considered any and all derivatives in this scenario?

Thanks Greg for honesty,integrity and truth! Pento is a very knowledgeable and a straight talker. Who or what areemerging markets?? Markets in places other than the Western world such as South America and Africa and Indonesia. Wars always begin with words. Trump obviously has an axe to grind with China, and in some respects that position has merit. This also presents in interesting situation vis-a-vis Mr.

Strategically speaking, it would probably be wise for Trump to unilaterally end the sanctions on Russia during his first days in office. Militarily — and by extension, economically, China can only do damage to the U. Re-gaining Kremlin cooperation is key to having the negotiating advantage with China.

Agent P Good analysis. Can Trump unilaterally end the sanctions with Russia? It best charting software uk congress that imposed these sanctions.

I am sure the Don may attempt to improve relations with Putin and company but China and Russia have a good thing going right now and the Silk Road Economic Belt is an attraction that should keep it that way for a very long time. I not sure that Trump has any chance at all of breaking the two up, in the slightest, at this time. Just my opinion, here. Regarding the China Gold card, I tend to agree with you.

I think Jerry makes some excellent points, but I think the Chinese will will be patient and try to hold their Gold cards until afterassuming of course the Don is inaugurated on schedule. I agree with your theory regarding the breaking up of Russia and China Macray Its not going to happen in the near future They are too dependant on each other economically at this point and I believe they both would like to see the dollar dethroned. I agree, What is the point of Russia turning its back on China only for Trump to be replaced as president in 4 years time?

At least with China the same people will probably be in charge. At some point in the interview, Greg or Michael mentioned that the fed would potentially have to buy all the US bonds issued- and that this would be game over. But this has already happened in Japan- and the game has not ended here. Perhaps someone who understands this better than I can comment on why- but my point is, if it can happen here, it can happen there.

The score is just too lopsided. There still may be some time left on the clockanother inning to play, another year or two to pretend and extend, etc. It is happening here. Who else is going to buy all these bonds. That was my point in a comment that I made. You nailed it, Al Hall. Gone and nothing left. The experts left in the middle of the last act, singing, Bags bulging. FBI Warrant For Clinton Emails Released As Democrats Slam Decision: Watchdogers think about this.

You need the above NOISE to justify a blanket pardon from current POTUS for Hilary and possibly others. All criminal investigations of Hillary cease with a blanket pardon forever. I still believe that the current POTUS and Hillary are tied at the hip on many things and that Hillary can destroy him if she is indicted.

If I am correct here, then watch for the HILLARY PARDON. Jesse Jackson Asks Obama to Pardon Hillary Clinton http: Did Bin Laden die in ? Great comment when Pento stated that stock market starts to sell off January 2nd in anticipation of lower capital gains tax Also, it has to fall — sell high correct. That being a Preparation for a possible reset? So if we consider a reset on the horizon, then China will be fine given their perceived gold hoard, and it should force us to reconsider his timing of events.

Also, the unknown is whether the Fed is forced into rate hikes regardless of economic data because of the impact on derivatives as a result of rising bond yields. Pento is mostly right IMHO. Whether anyone admits it, we may already in a recession in a lot of sectors.

Industrial production has had MoM declines for 24 straight months. So the FED has already started raising rates, straight dead nuts into a recession. Check out auto sales, and inventories. GM dealer lots are once again bursting at the seams.

Check out how all of them are doing plant idling. This only gets worse from here, as interest rates have shot up AFTER the inventory problems began months ago. Now go to all of the states that had benefitted from oil and fracking. They too are sucking wind on the economic front. Sure consumers are suddenly optimistic, but that might only be due to a change in President, since everyone knows how horrible Obama has been, and so they probably figure Trump is somehow a godsend.

I mean why sell if there is only going to be a short term, and not big decline? Notice how he kept saying IF YOU ARE LONG, LONG term holder of gold, not to worry.

Bitcoin therefore smells the coming market carnage, but gold is being smashed down. In fact, industrials and manufacturing could really recover next year, while other sectors go down. If the Comex and LBMA fail due to the rejection of non deliverable paper gold investments as part of the bond ponzi scheme, how will the price be determined? The outcome of the war on cash and gold will have impact but it appears the Shanghai market may become the new source for establishing the daily gold price.

India is a fluid situation but some dimwit politician is not going to change the Indians penchant for gold. Billions of dollars in foreign investment are being pumped into Russia at present. I agree with what Michael Pento says about the disastrous situation the world is in today, but Russia stands alone as the exception.

Despite the anti-Russian mantra being broadcast around the world, wise investors know to follow the money and that money is flowing into Russia today, sanctions be damned!

Jim Rogers latest take on the mess were gettin ourselves into. Shades of and more! Greg…a great listen…James Dale Davidson… Times to foldTimes to run…Obama economy a complete fake,U. Less corporations so who is doing the hiring? Greg There is an easy way to stop the AU and AG manipulation.

All the CFTC has to do is require anyone shorting more than say oz to put up physical as collateral. But that will probably never happen. So it has to be done the hard way by us deplorables. Keep buying the physical and when the supply is gone prices will sky rocket. It will be a hard fought battle but we will win in the long run. Hey Greg, I understand that Mr. Pento is an incredibly brilliant economist, etc.

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However i do believe you should have pressed him on any personal holding of any physical Gold Coins or Bars that he holds in his own portfolio.

I do not believe i have ever heard him claim to own any Real Gold as opposed to paper Gold. When you did ask him if he thought he would be able to get his Gold back that he sold, he paused and said well, i believe i can because i am an active manager…. Hence the big problem.

My point here Greg is that Gold is something you either own or you do not own because once the Banking Holiday occurs, it is……… GAME OVER. I just feel Mr. Pento, as a student of economic History, should make it clear that there is no substitute for the real thing. Greg, I believe that this is a beta test for what may be coming here in a few weeks. The globalist have multiple options available to them to install martial law at a time of their choosing that is not limited to cyber attacks or terrorism.

My cousin who had deep ties with the DOD told me several years ago before he passed away that he had seen plans to ring all the major cities into camps in the event of martial law. At the time I thought he was a crackpot.

Have you ever noticed how a bypass rings a city? It would not take much to form chokeholds and set up barbed wire. It may be conspiracy theory, but we thought gold manipulation was conspiracy theory too until Deutsche Bank spilled their guts.

This should remove all doubt about what the globalist are intending to do. As the attacks continue across the globe President Obama blocks registration of Muslims.

But yet the government has unfettered access to my private information, and monitors my cell phone? Some days I think about renouncing my citizenship and coming back in as an illegal alien. They have more rights than we do. Somebody saying buy gold awhile they clients are selling. Doug, Managing money and holding a core position in physical are two very different things.

Pento lives and dies on year-over-year percentage increases for clients. Remember he is actively managing money to generate profits. Core asset holders can just hold their insurance which never expires. Pento taking into consideration that the dropoff in new home starts residential real estate industry is a seasonal and normal occurence during the cold winter months? Or are the statistics he has given us based on year-to-year comparisons? Hard to say when the Trump rally will end. Probably by the time he finishes bankrupting the country entirely, as he has done with several of his businesses….

Blame it on Trump though. Mr Pento asks WHO will buy up the US Treasury bonds now that major holders are selling? An easy target for Congress. The government could require a portion to be invested in US bonds by eliminating the tax exempt status of the funds.

I just received notice from Social Security. See, they have inflation under control.

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Your email address will not be published. We respect your email privacy. If you Voted for Donald Trump, whould you vote for him again? About Mission Contact Submit News. Home Political Analysis Market Analysis Weekly News Wrap-Ups Latest News from the Web Donations. There is much more in the video interview. Catastrophic Bond Market Collapse Approaches-Michael Pento. About the Author Greg Hunter Greg is the producer and creator of USAWatchdog. Leave A Reply Please Note: Cancel reply Your email address will not be published.

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